Yesterday's recap mentioned a 'farewell' to low short term rates despite longer term rates 'faring well.' This is a reference to the major changes that have been taking place with the yield curve in ...

The yield curve has gone from an obscure chart on bond desks to front-page material because it’s one of the few indicators that consistently front-runs the big turns in the economy. I still remember ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, ...

December’s rate cut ended yield curve inversion—read how it could boost PIMCO PDO & PTY mortgage holdings, lower funding ...